The recent 10-week jail sentence of Mike Amesbury for assault has put pressure on Sir Keir Starmer, potentially leading to his first by-election test since taking office as prime minister.
While officially facing a recall petition, the former Labour MP for Runcorn and Helsby is under immense pressure to resign following condemnation from his own party, with Labour disowning him and calling for a new representative for the constituency.
Controversy surrounds the potential delay of a by-election if Amesbury chooses to appeal his sentence, as it can only proceed after all appeals are exhausted or if he voluntarily steps down.
The by-election could prove challenging for Labour, especially with Reform UK polling ahead of them, potentially leading to a sensational victory for the opposition party. Calls for Amesbury’s resignation have been led by Reform’s chairman Zia Yusuf and some Tory backbenchers, adding to the pressure on the beleaguered MP.
Nigel Farage’s Reform UK leads the opinion polls. Pic: Reuters
The Conservative party also faces uncertainties in preparing for a potential by-election, as they invite applications for a candidate in Runcorn and Helsby amidst the chaos.
Suspended Labour MP Mike Amesbury. Pic: Reuters
The timing of a potential by-election in Runcorn and Helsby remains uncertain, with both Labour and Conservatives facing dilemma in their strategic approaches.
Sir Keir Starmer had a good record in by-elections when Labour were in opposition. Pic: Reuters
With the political landscape in Runcorn and Helsby undergoing significant changes, the upcoming months will determine the future representation of the constituency.